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Overview

This case examines the role of hill-based residents in Napier, New Zealand, in supporting evacuees following a major earthquake and tsunami scenario. It explores residents’ willingness, preparedness, and capacity to host evacuees moving from low-lying coastal areas to higher ground, highlighting both social potential and practical constraints in community-led evacuation support.

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    New Zealand
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    Ready or Not? Hill-based Residents’ Capacity to Support Evacuees after Earthquake and Tsunami

    Summary Description

    A qualitative study analysing how hill-based households in Napier could support tsunami evacuees after a major earthquake, focusing on social capital, preparedness, and informal hosting capacity.

    Context & Background

    Napier is exposed to significant seismic and tsunami risk due to its coastal location and tectonic setting. In a large earthquake-tsunami scenario, residents from low-lying coastal zones would need to evacuate rapidly to higher ground. Formal evacuation centres may be insufficient or inaccessible. The study investigates whether hill-based residents could provide informal shelter and support, and under what conditions this would be feasible.

    Problem Addressed

    In a large earthquake and tsunami, evacuation from low-lying areas to higher ground would likely overwhelm formal emergency shelters. The research explores whether informal, community-based hosting by hill-based residents could realistically supplement official evacuation arrangements, and what barriers exist (preparedness, resources, risk perception, equity).

    Vulnerable Groups

    Evacuees from coastal zones may include elderly people, families with children, and individuals with mobility or health needs, requiring accessible shelter, medical support, and sustained care beyond immediate evacuation.

    Governance

    Evacuation planning in New Zealand is coordinated through Civil Defence Emergency Management (CDEM) Groups; yet, this case highlights the informal, community-led layer of response. Hill-based residents act independently but within the broader emergency management context, without formal agreements or guarantees of support.


     

    Emergency Preparedness

    Napier benefits from established CDEM planning and tsunami evacuation strategies. However, preparedness at household and neighbourhood level varies, particularly regarding hosting evacuated people for extended periods without external assistance.

    Infrastructure Readiness

    Hill-based areas generally have housing, utilities, and road access suitable for sheltering people, but in the specific case of the identified stakeholders residents identified limits related to water supply, sanitation, power outages, and damage following a major earthquake.

    Purpose of Engagement

    The purpose of engagement was to investigate the residents of Napier hill’s willingness and capacity to host evacuees after earthquakes and tsunamis.

    Methods of Engagement

    Semi-structured interviews and focus groups were held with with hill-based residents, orbiting around scenario-based discussions (the scenarios being earthquake and tsunami evacuation)

    Degree of Influence & Decision-Making

    Participants (hill residents) did not directly shape policies, emergency responses and risk management plans, but it supported institutional understanding of community resilience and readiness.

    Capacity-Building & Long-Term Empowerment

    The study itself contributes to empowerment by making visible the limits of informal capacity and the need for clearer guidance, support, and communication if residents are expected to host evacuees.

    Key Features & Innovations

    The main innovation lies in involving informal households rather than formal shelters, with attention paid to equity and burden-sharing with communities. What is examined is the willingness of houselholds, assessed against their actual capacity. Another element of innovation is the use of realistic disaster scenarios.

    Language(s)

    English

    Implementing Organisation(s)

    Researchers affiliated with New Zealand emergency management and disaster risk reduction institutions.

    Experience of the Implementing Organisation in DRRM

    The authors are experienced researchers in disaster risk, evacuation behaviour, and emergency management, contributing regularly to national disaster risk management scholarship and practice.

    Actors Involved
    • Hill-based residents
    • Researchers
    • Local emergency management context (CDEM-informed, but not operationally involved)
    Implementation Steps
    • Identification of hill-based neighbourhoods
    • Recruitment of residents
    • Scenario-based interviews
    • Analysis of preparedness, willingness, and constraints
    Resources Required

    Resources for conducting the study are limited to research funding, but resources for establishing an emergency response plan based on community support are not declared

    Timeframe & Phases

    The phases of the study were sequential, with residents’ willingness to collaborate being assessed periodically over three weeks. There is no ongoing operational phrase.

    Lessons Learned from Implementation

    Collaborative scenarios can catalyse agencies working with communities on complex, multi-scale response planning issues. Community-based planning is often a desired outcome in response planning. Shortcomings are two: hiatus between willingness and capacity is something to carefully address; informal hosting cannot replace formal shelters.

    Challenges & Adaptive Strategies

    The study highlighted Napier hill residents’ high willingness to contribute, counterbalanced by their limited preparedness. Residents expressed concerns about the duration of hosting, safety, supplies and damaged infrastructures.

    Risk & Mitigation Plan

    Risks include overburdening host households, inequitable support, and failure of utilities. Mitigation requires integrating informal hosting into formal planning, including guidance, supplies, and communication strategies.

    Sustainability Model

    Sustainability would depend on the ability to incorporate residents into formal planning of emergency responses and on training programmes that build capacity alongside willingness. Findings from the study would need to be translated into actionable policy insights.

    Scalability & Adaptability

    The findings are highly transferable to other coastal cities with vertical evacuation patterns, where informal hosting is implicitly assumed but rarely planned for explicitly.

    Technology & Innovation

    No dedicated technology is explicitly mentioned.